Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 3.227809 3.605897 4.015315 4.492377 5.033968 5.630823 6.339919
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2.742662 3.258998 3.858021 4.607387 5.523985 6.613989 8.016319
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.397379 2.982100 3.696274 4.639036 5.860114 7.400817 9.511873
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.148521 2.773037 3.568316 4.665452 6.155513 8.131330 10.987366
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.954296 2.602642 3.458169 4.684050 6.418993 8.821921 12.464136
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.755166 2.400443 3.278126 4.577400 6.482971 9.224487 13.557445
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.615595 2.263896 3.170538 4.553658 6.650585 9.776774 14.917026
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.490697 2.135171 3.059417 4.508556 6.773392 10.262788 16.215487
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.442493 2.112404 3.097942 4.686972 7.249160 11.333159 18.572821
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.354633 2.022137 3.026110 4.684842 7.433736 11.948995 20.231670
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.268738 1.927597 2.938991 4.648197 7.554001 12.463341 21.764506
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.146030 1.766454 2.734917 4.402337 7.297656 12.305270 22.052745
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.085680 1.702183 2.683780 4.411669 7.488735 12.962660 23.972110
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.049899 1.675085 2.690984 4.520652 7.865567 13.993587 26.750205
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.002463 1.625000 2.655543 4.550896 8.100578 14.783253 29.148297
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.958346 1.577171 2.619893 4.576604 8.327517 15.577939 31.659565
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.916656 1.530461 2.582378 4.594776 8.539935 16.363305 34.254102
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.859201 1.452395 2.483902 4.490395 8.501252 16.634139 35.737919
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.818685 1.401641 2.430675 4.467158 8.621078 17.242282 38.071055
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.778260 1.348486 2.369395 4.423016 8.693094 17.754301 40.245601
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.770451 1.354189 2.417140 4.597629 9.237762 19.352880 45.301826
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.739862 1.315724 2.378985 4.595544 9.403576 20.121583 48.385392
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.707137 1.271292 2.326498 4.559681 9.491614 20.720028 51.114084